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A286676 Numerators of the Nash equilibrium of guesses for the number guessing game for n numbers. 1

%I #20 Nov 18 2019 05:35:50

%S 1,3,9,2,20,12,23,27,31,35,187,1461,485,105,64,69,67,18,11,41,87,23,

%T 97,828,251175,497650,1582733,480083,3070955,139927,1253,1301,160,83,

%U 172,89,184,181,187,193,199,205,211,217,223,229,235,241,247,253,259,265

%N Numerators of the Nash equilibrium of guesses for the number guessing game for n numbers.

%C Consider two players: one player picks a number between 1-N, and another player guesses numbers, receiving feedback "too high" or "too low". The number picker is trying to maximize the expected number of guesses, whereas the number guesser is trying to minimize the expected number of guesses. While a binary search would in expectation be the optimal strategy if the number was chosen randomly, it is not the case if the number is chosen adversarially.

%H R. Fokkink and M. Stassen, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-25280-8_10">An Asymptotic Solution of Dresher's Guessing Game</a>, Decision and Game Theory for Security, 2011, 104-116.

%H Michal Forisek, <a href="https://ipsc.ksp.sk/2011/real/solutions/booklet.pdf">Candy for each guess</a>, p. 15-19, IPSC 2011 booklet.

%H Michal Forisek, <a href="https://ipsc.ksp.sk/2011/real/problems/c.html">Candy for each guess</a>

%e For n=3, the Nash equilibrium of guesses is 9/5. This is attained when the number picker chooses 1 with 2/5 probability, 2 with 1/5 probability, and 3 with 2/5 probability. The number guesser guesses the numbers 0,2,1 in order with 1/5 probability, 2,0,1 in order with 1/5 probability, and 1,0,2 (i.e. binary search) with 3/5 probability.

%Y For denominators see A286677.

%K nonn,frac

%O 1,2

%A _Lewis Chen_, May 12 2017

%E More terms from _Lewis Chen_, Oct 29 2019

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Last modified April 25 11:39 EDT 2024. Contains 371969 sequences. (Running on oeis4.)